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SUPREME COURT OF THE UNITED STATES
_________________
No. 15–680
_________________
GOLDEN BETHUNE-HILL, et al., APPELLANTS
v. VIRGINIA
STATE BOARD OF ELECTIONS, et al.
on appeal from the united states district court for the eastern
district of virginia
[March 1, 2017]
Justice Kennedy delivered the opinion of the Court.
This case addresses whether the Virginia state legislature’s
consideration of race in drawing new lines for 12 state legislative
districts violated the Equal Protection Clause of the Fourteenth
Amendment. After the 2010 census, some redistricting was required
to ensure proper numerical apportionment for the Virginia House of
Delegates. It is undisputed that the boundary lines for the 12
districts at issue were drawn with a goal of ensuring that each
district would have a black voting-age population (BVAP) of at
least 55%.
Certain voters challenged the new districts as unconstitutional
racial gerrymanders. The United States District Court for the
Eastern District of Virginia, constituted as a three-judge district
court, rejected the challenges as to each of the 12 districts. As
to 11 of the districts, the District Court concluded that the
voters had not shown, as this Court’s precedent requires, “that
race was the predominant factor motivating the legislature’s
decision to place a significant number of voters within or without
a particular district.”
Miller v.
Johnson,515
U. S. 900 (1995). The District Court held that race
predominates only where there is an “ ‘
actual conflict
between traditional redistricting criteria and race,’ ” 141
F. Supp. 3d 505, 524 (ED Va. 2015), so it confined the
predominance analysis to the portions of the new lines that
appeared to deviate from traditional criteria, and found no
violation. As to the remaining district, District 75, the District
Court found that race did predominate. It concluded, however, that
the lines were constitutional because the legislature’s use of race
was narrowly tailored to a compelling state interest. In
particular, the District Court determined that the legislature had
“good reasons to believe” that a 55% racial target was necessary in
District 75 to avoid diminishing the ability of black voters to
elect their preferred candidates, which at the time would have
violated §5 of the Voting Rights Act of 1965.
Alabama
Legislative Black Caucus v.
Alabama, 575 U. S. ___,
___ (2015) (slip op., at 22) (internal quotation marks omitted and
emphasis deleted).
On appeal to this Court, the challengers contend that the
District Court employed an incorrect legal standard for racial
predominance and that the legislature lacked good reasons for its
use of race in District 75. This Court now affirms as to District
75 and vacates and remands as to the remaining 11 districts.
I
After the 2010 census, the Virginia General Assembly set out to
redraw the legislative districts for the State Senate and House of
Delegates in time for the 2011 elections. In February 2011, the
House Committee on Privileges and Elections adopted a resolution
establishing criteria to guide the redistricting process. Among
those criteria were traditional redistricting factors such as
compactness, contiguity of territory, and respect for communities
of interest. But above those traditional objectives, the committee
gave priority to two other goals. First, in accordance with the
principle of one person, one vote, the committee resolved that
“[t]he population of each district shall be as nearly equal to the
population of every other district as practicable,” with any
deviations falling “within plus-or-minus one percent.” 141
F. Supp. 3d, at 518. Second, the committee resolved that the
new map must comply with the “protections against . . .
unwarranted retrogression” contained in §5 of the Voting Rights
Act.
Ibid. At the time, §5 required covered jurisdictions,
including Virginia, to preclear any change to a voting standard,
practice, or procedure by showing federal authorities that the
change would not have the purpose or effect of “diminishing the
ability of [members of a minority group] to elect their preferred
candidates of choice.” §5,120Stat.580–581,52 U. S. C.
§10304(b). After the redistricting process here was completed, this
Court held that the coverage formula in §4(b) of the Voting Rights
Act no longer may be used to require preclearance under §5. See
Shelby County v.
Holder, 570 U. S. ___, ___
(2013) (slip op., at 24).
The committee’s criteria presented potential problems for 12
House districts. Under §5 as Congress amended it in 2005, “[a] plan
leads to impermissible retrogression when, compared to the plan
currently in effect (typically called a ‘benchmark plan’), the new
plan diminishes the number of districts in which minority groups
can ‘elect their preferred candidates of choice’ (often called
‘ability-to-elect’ districts).”
Harris v.
Arizona
Independent Redistricting Comm’n, 578 U. S. ___, ___–___
(2016) (slip op., at 5–6) (quoting52 U. S. C. §10304(b)).
The parties agree that the 12 districts at issue here, where
minorities had constituted a majority of the voting-age population
for many past elections, qualified as “ability-to-elect” districts.
Most of the districts were underpopulated, however, so any new plan
required moving significant numbers of new voters into these
districts in order to comply with the principle of one person, one
vote. Under the benchmark plan, the districts had BVAPs ranging
from 62.7% down to 46.3%. Three districts had BVAPs below 55%.
Seeking to maintain minority voters’ ability to elect their
preferred candidates in these districts while complying with the
one-person, one-vote criterion, legislators concluded that each of
the 12 districts “needed to contain a BVAP of at least 55%.” 141
F. Supp. 3d, at 519. At trial, the parties disputed whether
the 55% figure “was an aspiration or a target or a rule.”
Ibid. But they did not dispute “the most important
question—whether [the 55%] figure was used in drawing the
Challenged Districts.”
Ibid. The parties agreed, and the
District Court found, “that the 55% BVAP figure was used in
structuring the districts.”
Ibid. In the enacted plan all 12
districts contained a BVAP greater than 55%.
Who first suggested the 55% BVAP criterion and how the
legislators agreed upon it was less clear from the evidence. See
id., at 521 (describing the “[t]estimony on this question”
as “a muddle”). In the end, the District Court found that the 55%
criterion emerged from discussions among certain members of the
House Black Caucus and the leader of the redistricting effort in
the House, Delegate Chris Jones, “based largely on concerns
pertaining to the re-election of Delegate Tyler in [District] 75.”
Id., at 522. The 55% figure “was then applied across the
board to all twelve” districts.
Ibid.
In April 2011, the General Assembly passed Delegate Jones’ plan
with broad support from both parties and members of the Black
Caucus. One of only two dissenting members of the Black Caucus was
Delegate Tyler of District 75, who objected solely on the ground
that the 55.4% BVAP in her district was too low. In June 2011, the
U. S. Department of Justice precleared the plan.
Three years later, before this suit was filed, a separate
District Court struck down Virginia’s third federal congressional
district (not at issue here), based in part on the legislature’s
use of a 55% BVAP threshold. See
Page v.
Virginia State
Bd. of Elections, 58 F. Supp. 3d 533, 553 (ED Va. 2014),
vacated and remanded
sub nom. Cantor v.
Personhuballah, 575 U. S. ___ (2015), judgt. entered
sub nom. Page v.
Virginia State Bd. of
Elections, 2015 WL 3604029 (June 5, 2015), appeal dism’d
sub nom. Wittman v.
Personhuballah, 578
U. S. ___ (2016). After that decision, 12 voters registered in
the 12 districts here at issue filed this action challenging the
district lines under the Equal Protection Clause. Because the
claims “challeng[ed] the constitutionality of . . . the
apportionment of [a] statewide legislative body,” the case was
heard by a three-judge District Court.28 U. S. C.
§2284(a). The Virginia House of Delegates and its Speaker, William
Howell (together referred to hereinafter as the State), intervened
and assumed responsibility for defending the plan, both before the
District Court and now before this Court.
After a 4-day bench trial, a divided District Court ruled for
the State. With respect to each challenged district, the court
first assessed whether “racial considerations predominated over—or
‘subordinated’—traditional redistricting criteria.” 141
F. Supp. 3d, at 523. An essential premise of the majority
opinion was that race does not predominate unless there is an
“
actual conflict between traditional redistricting criteria
and race that leads to the subordination of the former.”
Id., at 524. To implement that standard, moreover, the court
limited its inquiry into racial motive to those portions of the
district lines that appeared to deviate from traditional criteria.
The court thus “examine[d] those aspects of the [district] that
appear[ed] to constitute ‘deviations’ from neutral criteria” to
ascertain whether the deviations were attributable to race or to
other considerations, “such as protection of incumbents.”
Id., at 533–534. Only if the court found a deviation
attributable to race did it proceed to “determine whether racial
considerations qualitatively subordinated all other non-racial
districting criteria.”
Ibid. Under that analysis, the court
found that race did not predominate in 11 of the 12 districts.
When it turned to District 75, the District Court found that
race did predominate. The court reasoned that “[a]chieving a 55%
BVAP floor required ‘drastic maneuvering’ that is reflected on the
face of the district.”
Id., at 557. Applying strict
scrutiny, the court held that compliance with §5 was a compelling
state interest and that the legislature’s consideration of race in
District 75 was narrowly tailored. As to narrow tailoring, the
court explained that the State had “a strong basis in evidence” to
believe that its actions were “reasonably necessary” to avoid
retrogression.
Id., at 548. In particular, the court found
that Delegate Jones had considered “precisely the kinds of evidence
that legislators are encouraged to use” in achieving compliance
with §5, including turnout rates, the district’s large
disenfranchised prison population, and voting patterns in the
contested 2005 primary and general elections.
Id., at
558.
Judge Keenan dissented as to all 12 districts. She concluded
that the majority applied an incorrect understanding of racial
predominance and that Delegate Jones’ analysis of District 75 was
too “general and conclusory.”
Id., at 578. This appeal
followed, and probable jurisdiction was noted. 578 U. S. ___
(2016); see28 U. S. C. §1253.
II
Against the factual and procedural background set out above, it
is now appropriate to consider the controlling legal principles in
this case. The Equal Protection Clause prohibits a State, without
sufficient justification, from “separat[ing] its citizens into
different voting districts on the basis of race.”
Miller,
515 U. S., at 911. The harms that flow from racial sorting
“include being personally subjected to a racial classification as
well as being represented by a legislator who believes his primary
obligation is to represent only the members of a particular racial
group.”
Alabama, 575 U. S., at ___ (slip op., at 6)
(alterations, citation, and internal quotation marks omitted). At
the same time, courts must “exercise extraordinary caution in
adjudicating claims that a State has drawn district lines on the
basis of race.”
Miller, 515 U. S., at 916. “Electoral
districting is a most difficult subject for legislatures,”
requiring a delicate balancing of competing considerations.
Id., at 915. And “redistricting differs from other kinds of
state decisionmaking in that the legislature always is
aware
of race when it draws district lines, just as it is aware of
. . . a variety of other demographic factors.”
Shaw v.
Reno,509 U. S. 630,646 (1993) (
Shaw
I).
In light of these considerations, this Court has held that a
plaintiff alleging racial gerrymandering bears the burden “to show,
either through circumstantial evidence of a district’s shape and
demographics or more direct evidence going to legislative purpose,
that race was the predominant factor motivating the legislature’s
decision to place a significant number of voters within or without
a particular district.”
Miller, 515 U. S. at 916. To
satisfy this burden, the plaintiff “must prove that the legislature
subordinated traditional race-neutral districting principles
. . . to racial considerations.”
Ibid. The
challengers contend that, in finding that race did not predominate
in 11 of the 12 districts, the District Court misapplied
controlling law in two principal ways. This Court considers them in
turn.
A
The challengers first argue that the District Court
misunderstood the relevant precedents when it required the
challengers to establish, as a prerequisite to showing racial
predominance, an actual conflict between the enacted plan and
traditional redistricting principles. The Court agrees with the
challengers on this point.
A threshold requirement that the enacted plan must conflict with
traditional principles might have been reconcilable with this
Court’s case law at an earlier time. In
Shaw I, the Court
recognized a claim of racial gerrymandering for the first time. See
509 U. S., at 652. Certain language in
Shaw I can be
read to support requiring a challenger who alleges racial
gerrymandering to show an actual conflict with traditional
principles. The opinion stated, for example, that strict scrutiny
applies to “redistricting legislation that is so bizarre on its
face that it is unexplainable on grounds other than race.”
Id., at 644 (internal quotation marks omitted). The opinion
also stated that “reapportionment is one area in which appearances
do matter.”
Id., at 647.
The Court’s opinion in
Miller, however, clarified the
racial predominance inquiry. In particular, it rejected the
argument that, “regardless of the legislature’s purposes, a
plaintiff must demonstrate that a district’s shape is so bizarre
that it is unexplainable other than on the basis of race.” 515
U. S., at 910–911. The Court held to the contrary in language
central to the instant case: “Shape is relevant not because
bizarreness is a necessary element of the constitutional wrong or a
threshold requirement of proof, but because it may be persuasive
circumstantial evidence that race for its own sake, and not other
districting principles, was the legislature’s dominant and
controlling rationale.”
Id., at 913. Parties therefore “may
rely on evidence other than bizarreness to establish race-based
districting,” and may show predominance “either through
circumstantial evidence of a district’s shape and demographics or
more direct evidence going to legislative purpose.”
Id., at
913, 916.
The Court addressed racial gerrymandering and traditional
redistricting factors again in
Shaw v.
Hunt,517
U. S. 899 (1996) (
Shaw II). The Court there rejected
the view of one of the dissents that “strict scrutiny does not
apply where a State ‘respects’ or ‘complies with traditional
districting principles.’ ”
Id., at 906 (quoting
id., at 931–932 (Stevens, J., dissenting); alteration
omitted). Race may predominate even when a reapportionment plan
respects traditional principles, the Court explained, if “[r]ace
was the criterion that, in the State’s view, could not be
compromised,” and race-neutral considerations “came into play only
after the race-based decision had been made.”
Id., at
907.
The State’s theory in this case is irreconcilable with
Miller and
Shaw II. The State insists, for example,
that the harm from racial gerrymandering lies not in racial
line-drawing
per se but in grouping voters of the same race
together when they otherwise lack shared interests. But “the
constitutional violation” in racial gerrymandering cases stems from
the “racial purpose of state action, not its stark manifestation.”
Miller,
supra, at 913. The Equal Protection Clause
does not prohibit misshapen districts. It prohibits unjustified
racial classifications.
The State contends further that race does not have a prohibited
effect on a district’s lines if the legislature could have drawn
the same lines in accordance with traditional criteria. That
argument parallels the District Court’s reasoning that a
reapportionment plan is not an express racial classification unless
a racial purpose is apparent from the face of the plan based on the
irregular nature of the lines themselves. See 141 F. Supp. 3d,
at 524–526. This is incorrect. The racial predominance inquiry
concerns the actual considerations that provided the essential
basis for the lines drawn, not
post hoc justifications the
legislature in theory could have used but in reality did not.
Traditional redistricting principles, moreover, are numerous and
malleable. The District Court here identified no fewer than 11
race-neutral redistricting factors a legislature could consider,
some of which are “surprisingly ethereal” and “admi[t] of degrees.”
Id., at 535, 537. By deploying those factors in various
combinations and permutations, a State could construct a plethora
of potential maps that look consistent with traditional,
race-neutral principles. But if race for its own sake is the
overriding reason for choosing one map over others, race still may
predominate.
For these reasons, a conflict or inconsistency between the
enacted plan and traditional redistricting criteria is not a
threshold requirement or a mandatory precondition in order for a
challenger to establish a claim of racial gerrymandering. Of
course, a conflict or inconsistency may be persuasive
circumstantial evidence tending to show racial predomination, but
there is no rule requiring challengers to present this kind of
evidence in every case.
As a practical matter, in many cases, perhaps most cases,
challengers will be unable to prove an unconstitutional racial
gerrymander without evidence that the enacted plan conflicts with
traditional redistricting criteria. In general, legislatures that
engage in impermissible race-based redistricting will find it
necessary to depart from traditional principles in order to do so.
And, in the absence of a conflict with traditional principles, it
may be difficult for challengers to find other evidence sufficient
to show that race was the overriding factor causing neutral
considerations to be cast aside. In fact, this Court to date has
not affirmed a predominance finding, or remanded a case for a
determination of predominance, without evidence that some district
lines deviated from traditional principles. See
Alabama, 575
U. S., at ___ (slip op., at 17);
Hunt v.
Cromartie,526 U. S. 541,547 (1999);
Bush v.
Vera,517 U. S. 952,962,966,974 (1996) (plurality
opinion);
Shaw II,
supra, at 905–906;
Miller,
supra, at 917;
Shaw I,
supra, at 635–636. Yet
the law responds to proper evidence and valid inferences in
ever-changing circumstances, as it learns more about ways in which
its commands are circumvented. So there may be cases where
challengers will be able to establish racial predominance in the
absence of an actual conflict by presenting direct evidence of the
legislative purpose and intent or other compelling circumstantial
evidence.
B
The challengers submit that the District Court erred further
when it considered the legislature’s racial motive only to the
extent that the challengers identified deviations from traditional
redistricting criteria that were attributable to race and not to
some other factor. In the challengers’ view, this approach
foreclosed a holistic analysis of each district and led the
District Court to give insufficient weight to the 55% BVAP target
and other relevant evidence that race predominated. Again, this
Court agrees.
As explained, showing a deviation from, or conflict with,
traditional redistricting principles is not a necessary
prerequisite to establishing racial predominance.
Supra, at
10. But even where a challenger alleges a conflict, or succeeds in
showing one, the court should not confine its analysis to the
conflicting portions of the lines. That is because the basic unit
of analysis for racial gerrymandering claims in general, and for
the racial predominance inquiry in particular, is the district.
Racial gerrymandering claims proceed “district-by-district.”
Alabama, 575 U. S., at ___ (slip op., at 6). “We have
consistently described a claim of racial gerrymandering as a claim
that race was improperly used in the drawing of the boundaries of
one or more
specific electoral districts.”
Ibid. And
Miller’s basic predominance test scrutinizes the
legislature’s motivation for placing “a significant number of
voters within or without a particular district.” 515 U. S., at 916.
Courts evaluating racial predominance therefore should not divorce
any portion of the lines—whatever their relationship to traditional
principles—from the rest of the district.
This is not to suggest that courts evaluating racial
gerrymandering claims may not consider evidence pertaining to an
area that is larger or smaller than the district at issue. The
Court has recognized that “[v]oters, of course, can present
statewide evidence in order to prove racial gerrymandering in a
particular district.”
Alabama,
supra, at ___ (slip
op., at 7) (emphasis deleted). Districts share borders, after all,
and a legislature may pursue a common redistricting policy toward
multiple districts. Likewise, a legislature’s race-based
decisionmaking may be evident in a notable way in a particular part
of a district. It follows that a court may consider evidence
regarding certain portions of a district’s lines, including
portions that conflict with traditional redistricting
principles.
The ultimate object of the inquiry, however, is the
legislature’s predominant motive for the design of the district as
a whole. A court faced with a racial gerrymandering claim therefore
must consider all of the lines of the district at issue; any
explanation for a particular portion of the lines, moreover, must
take account of the districtwide context. Concentrating on
particular portions in isolation may obscure the significance of
relevant districtwide evidence, such as stark splits in the racial
composition of populations moved into and out of disparate parts of
the district, or the use of an express racial target. A holistic
analysis is necessary to give that kind of evidence its proper
weight.
C
The challengers ask this Court not only to correct the District
Court’s racial predominance standard but also to apply that
standard and conclude that race in fact did predominate in the 11
districts where the District Court held that it did not. For its
part, the State asks the Court to hold that, even if race did
predominate in these districts, the State’s predominant use of race
was narrowly tailored to the compelling interest in complying with
§5.
The Court declines these requests. “[O]urs is a court of final
review and not first view.”
Department of Transportation v.
Association of American Railroads, 575 U. S. ___, ___
(2015) (slip op., at 12) (internal quotation marks omitted). The
District Court is best positioned to determine in the first
instance the extent to which, under the proper standard, race
directed the shape of these 11 districts. And if race did
predominate, it is proper for the District Court to determine in
the first instance whether strict scrutiny is satisfied. These
matters are left for the District Court on remand.
III
The Court now turns to the arguments regarding District 75.
Where a challenger succeeds in establishing racial predominance,
the burden shifts to the State to “demonstrate that its districting
legislation is narrowly tailored to achieve a compelling interest.”
Miller,
supra, at 920. The District Court here
determined that the State’s predominant use of race in District 75
was narrowly tailored to achieve compliance with §5. The
challengers contest the finding of narrow tailoring, but they do
not dispute that compliance with §5 was a compelling interest at
the relevant time. As in previous cases, therefore, the Court
assumes, without deciding, that the State’s interest in complying
with the Voting Rights Act was compelling.
E.g.,
Alabama,
supra, at ___–___ (slip op., at 19–23);
Shaw II, 517 U. S., at 915.
Turning to narrow tailoring, the Court explained the contours of
that requirement in
Alabama. When a State justifies the
predominant use of race in redistricting on the basis of the need
to comply with the Voting Rights Act, “the narrow tailoring
requirement insists only that the legislature have a strong basis
in evidence in support of the (race-based) choice that it has
made.” 575 U. S., at ___ (slip op., at 22) (internal quotation
marks omitted). That standard does not require the State to show
that its action was “actually . . . necessary” to avoid a
statutory violation, so that, but for its use of race, the State
would have lost in court.
Ibid. (internal quotation marks
omitted). Rather, the requisite strong basis in evidence exists
when the legislature has “
good reasons to believe” it must
use race in order to satisfy the Voting Rights Act, “even if a
court does not find that the actions were necessary for statutory
compliance.”
Ibid. (internal quotation marks omitted).
The Court now finds no error in the District Court’s conclusion
that the State had sufficient grounds to determine that the
race-based calculus it employed in District 75 was necessary to
avoid violating §5. As explained, §5 at the time barred Virginia
from adopting any districting change that would “have the effect of
diminishing the ability of [members of a minority group] to elect
their preferred candidates of choice.”52 U. S. C.
§10304(b). Determining what minority population percentage will
satisfy that standard is a difficult task requiring, in the view of
the Department of Justice, a “functional analysis of the electoral
behavior within the particular . . . election district.”
Guidance Concerning Redistricting Under Section 5 of the Voting
Rights Act, 76 Fed. Reg. 7471 (2011).
Under the facts found by the District Court, the legislature
performed that kind of functional analysis of District 75 when
deciding upon the 55% BVAP target. Redrawing this district
presented a difficult task, and the result reflected the good-faith
efforts of Delegate Jones and his colleagues to achieve an informed
bipartisan consensus. Delegate Jones met with Delegate Tyler
“probably half a dozen times to configure her district” in order to
avoid retrogression. 141 F. Supp. 3d, at 558 (internal
quotation marks omitted). He discussed the district with incumbents
from other majority-minority districts. He also considered turnout
rates, the results of the recent contested primary and general
elections in 2005, and the dis-trict’s large population of
disenfranchised black prisoners. The challengers, moreover, do not
dispute that District 75 was an ability-to-elect district, or that
white and black voters in the area tend to vote as blocs. See
id., at 557–559. In light of Delegate Jones’ careful
assessment of local conditions and structures, the State had a
strong basis in evidence to believe a 55% BVAP floor was required
to avoid retrogression.
The challengers’ responses ask too much from state officials
charged with the sensitive duty of reapportioning legislative
districts. First, the challengers contest the sufficiency of the
evidence showing that Delegate Jones in fact performed a functional
analysis, in part because that analysis was not memorialized in
writing. But the District Court’s factual findings are reviewed
only for clear error. See
Easley v.
Cromartie,532
U. S. 234,242 (2001). The findings regarding how the
legislature arrived at the 55% BVAP target are well supported, and
“we do not . . . require States engaged in redistricting
to compile a comprehensive administrative record.”
Vera, 517
U. S., at 966 (internal quotation marks omitted).
The challengers argue further that the drafters of the plan had
insufficient evidence to justify a 55% BVAP floor. The 2005
elections were idiosyncratic, the challengers contend; moreover,
demographic information about the prison in the district is absent
from the record, and Delegate Tyler’s perspective was influenced by
a personal interest in reelection. That may have been so, and for
those reasons, it is possible that, if the State had drawn District
75 with a BVAP below 55% and had sought judicial preclearance, a
court would have found no §5 violation. But that is not the
question here. “The law cannot insist that a state legislature,
when redistricting, determine
precisely what percent
minority population §5 demands.”
Alabama, 575 U. S., at
___ (slip op., at 22). The question is whether the State had
“
good reasons” to believe a 55% BVAP floor was necessary to
avoid liability under §5.
Ibid. (internal quotation marks
omitted). The State did have good reasons under these
circumstances. Holding otherwise would afford state legislatures
too little breathing room, leaving them “trapped between the
competing hazards of liability” under the Voting Rights Act and the
Equal Protection Clause.
Vera,
supra, at 977
(internal quotation marks omitted).
As a final point, the challengers liken the 55% BVAP floor here
to the “mechanically numerical view” of §5 this Court rejected in
Alabama. 575 U. S., at ___ (slip op., at 21). But
Alabama did not condemn the use of BVAP targets to comply
with §5 in every instance. Rather, this Court corrected the
“misperception” that §5 required a State to “maintai[n] the same
population percentages in majority-minority districts as in the
prior plan.”
Id., at ___–___ (slip op., at 19–20). “[I]t
would seem highly unlikely,” the Court explained, that reducing a
district’s BVAP “from, say, 70% to 65% would have a significant
impact on the black voters’ ability to elect their preferred
candidate.”
Id., at ___ (slip op., at 21). Yet reducing the
BVAP below 55% well might have that effect in some cases. The
record here supports the legislature’s conclusion that this was one
instance where a 55% BVAP was necessary for black voters to have a
functional working majority.
IV
The Court’s holding in this case is controlled by precedent. The
Court reaffirms the basic racial predominance analysis explained in
Miller and
Shaw II, and the basic narrow tailoring
analysis explained in
Alabama. The District Court’s judgment
as to District 75 is consistent with these principles. Applying
these principles to the remaining 11 districts is entrusted to the
District Court in the first instance.
The judgment of the District Court is affirmed in part and
vacated in part. The case is remanded for further proceedings
consistent with this opinion.
It is so ordered.